India’s Wheat And Rapeseed Yields At Risk As March Temperatures Surge

India’s wheat and rapeseed-growing regions are bracing for unusually high temperatures in March, according to weather office sources. Maximum temperatures in northwestern states could rise as much as 7°C above average, raising concerns over crop yields. The India Meteorological Department (IMD) has cautioned that prolonged heat could stress maturing crops, particularly wheat and rapeseed, which are highly sensitive to temperature fluctuations during the final growth stages.  

Key Highlights  

• Maximum temperatures in northwestern states may rise up to 7°C above average  
• Above-average minimum temperatures also expected, compounding crop stress  
• Wheat and rapeseed yields at risk due to heat during critical growth phase  
• India faces potential fourth consecutive year of reduced wheat output  
• Authorities may consider easing import restrictions to offset shortages  

Strategic Impact  
India, the world’s second-largest wheat producer, relies heavily on stable harvests to maintain food security and control inflation. Analysts warn that reduced yields could force the government to lower or remove import taxes to secure overseas supplies. The situation underscores the growing vulnerability of agriculture to climate variability, highlighting the urgent need for resilient farming practices and improved irrigation infrastructure.  

Sources: The Economic Times, Business Standard, Reuters