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Silver Bulls on Standby: Awaiting the $33.00 Breakout Spark


Updated: April 21, 2025 13:20

Image Source: Goldback
Silver (XAG/USD) has caught the attention of traders as it trades around important resistance levels, with bearish pressure increasing but a definitive break above $33.00 being the deciding factor before fresh buying interest is triggered. Below is a brief summary of the recent events and what to look out for in the next update.
 
Brief Introduction
Following a strong rally during early 2025, silver prices are consolidating at multi-month highs. Technical indicators point towards the direction of least resistance being to the upside, yet traders are exercising caution, anticipating a clear break above $33.00 before affirming the next leg higher.
 
Technical Landscape
  • Silver is currently trading above its 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) around $32.28, in favor of a bullish near-term perspective.
  • The 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates a V-shaped rebound, reflecting improved momentum but finding resistance at the 60.00 level.
  • The price has been trading within a tight range, with current highs at $34.60 and multi-month resistance at $34.87.
Key Resistance and Bull Triggers
  • Bulls are particularly interested in monitoring the $33.00–$33.12 area; a break above this level will unlock targets at $34.87 (October 2022 high) and more than a decade high at $35.50.
  • The $32.55 level is a key horizontal resistance; a clean break above could spark a rally to $33.00, $33.40, and further.
  • A decisive break through the $34.60–$34.85 zone would be a new bullish trigger, which could see the door to $35.00 and beyond.
Support Levels and Downside Risks
  • Immediate support comes at $32.00–$31.90, with additional key levels at $31.75–$31.70 and the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) at $31.20.
  • A fall below $31.00 may indicate a switch to a bearish bias, with the subsequent supports at $30.25, $30.00, and $29.55–$29.50.
  • Corrective pullbacks are likely to find dip-buyers, particularly if prices continue above the lower boundary of the rising trend channel around $32.00.
Broader Market Context
  • Silver has risen more than 46% since the beginning of the year, but is confronted by significant technical resistance at $35.24–$36.01, where price exhaustion or inflection is likely to be seen.
  • The overall uptrend is intact, but short-term weakness continues until a distinct breakout above resistance is completed.
  • Oscillators continue in positive alignment and far from overbought levels, indicating further potential upside if resistance is overcome.
Outlook
Silver bulls are set for more gains, but all are waiting for a firm move through $33.00 before entering new positions. A break could soon drive prices into $34.87 and maybe the $35.00–$35.50 range. A failure to hold above support levels, on the other hand, could trigger a more significant correction, but interest in dip-buying remains in place above $32.00. 
 
Relevant Sources: FXStreet, Mitrade, Bitcoin World, RFBNews, FOREX.com

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